UK Department for Transport expects over 21,000 zero-emission bus orders by 2035, double-deck buses dominate forecast - Sustainable Bus

"The pipeline sets out forecast procurement volumes within a range-based model, reflecting varying levels of confidence in order realisation. Over the 10-year period, total expected orders range between 17,400 and 21,525 units, with also a figure of 23,381 vehicles mentioned in the page."

"The Department for Transport states that the dataset is anonymised and aggregated, with no geographical breakdown, in order to maintain commercial confidentiality while providing sector-wide visibility."

"Total expected orders for double-deck ZEBs amount to 12,673 units over the 10-year period, representing the majority share of demand. Single-deck buses account for a smaller portion of the pipeline, with an estimated 6,726 units."

The UK Department for Transport has outlined a 10-year pipeline for zero-emission bus orders, projecting between 17,400 and 21,525 vehicles from 2026 to 2035. The dataset consolidates expected procurement volumes from local authorities and bus operators, serving as a reference for production planning and supply chain coordination. The largest segment is double-deck buses, with 12,673 units expected, while single-deck buses account for 6,726 units. Annual orders are projected to peak in 2030 before declining towards 2035.

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