"The 2026 Braves team ZIPs projections came out on Monday. Last year's starters plus Mauricio Dubon are below. There's not a ton of argue about here. These numbers look pretty realistic. I understand where he gets Dan Szymborski gets these numbers from. There are a few of these that don't look right. I think the 1.1 hung on Dubon is pretty low. Some models are projecting his defense to completely disappear, and I don't think that will be the case."
"The model is very bullish on Harris again, just not as high as the 6+ number of last year. And the Profar number at 1.4 seems low. I want to believe Harris has a phenomenal year in 2026. And yes, Profar defends left field like a geriatric patient in concrete boots. But I think both land closer to 2 WAR next season."
ZIPS projects 2026 WAR values for the Braves' starters and Mauricio Dubon. The projections look broadly realistic, though Dubon's 1.1 WAR appears low given expectations that his defense will not completely vanish. Shortstop depth could suppress playing time, limiting impact. Joey Wentz is likely to see more playing time in 2026, with overall effect depending on starting pitching health and injuries. The model is bullish on Michael Harris again but not at last year's 6+ level. Jurickson Profar's 1.4 WAR projection seems understated given low defensive metrics, and both players may land closer to 2 WAR next season.
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