"Don't get cute; top seeds are historically the safest bet in the NCAA tournament, particularly No. 1 seeds that have won 25 out of 39 times since 1985."
"While upsets are common, committing to a Cinderella story can yield rewards; take rare matchups like a No. 12 seed taking out a No. 5 seed."
"Injuries are critical; observing teams like Duke who lost key players can be crucial for predicting outcomes in the tournament."
"The rise in teams attempting threes creates chaos; this season saw a record number of teams engaging in high-volume three-point shooting, increasing the potential for upsets."
To enhance your chances in the NCAA tournament, prioritize strong, top-seeded teams as they typically have a superior win rateâ34 of the past 39 champions were 1, 2, or 3-seeds. However, don't shy away from early round upsets, particularly with No. 12 seeds. Injuries to key players, such as those affecting Duke, can significantly impact outcomes. Increased three-point shooting among teams indicates potential for surprising upsets. Last, while conference results guide early picks, they become irrelevant by the Final Four stage.
Read at Axios
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