Bitcoin Just Logged Its Biggest Quarterly Close Ever - Is $150,000 On The Horizon?

"Bitcoin ended the third quarter of 2025 at a record high, fueling the belief among investors that Bitcoin's price will go up further into the final quarter of the year. The Bitcoin price closed September about 5% higher at roughly $114,000, defying expectations of seasonal weakness. September has often been a difficult month for Bitcoin, but when it has finished higher, the final quarter has tended to deliver outsized gains."

"Data shows that in years such as 2015, 2016, 2023 and 2024, positive September closes were followed by fourth-quarter rallies averaging more than 50%. Seasonal patterns suggest early-quarter strength may be particularly important. Since 2015, October has delivered average gains of 21.8%, while November has added 10.8%, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data. If similar patterns repeat this year, Bitcoin could clear past $150,000 before the end of the year."

"It would come in the wake of the April halving event that cut new supply of the asset in half - a milestone often followed by upward price pressure. Bitcoin has traded sideways in recent months, but key liquidity indicators suggest a breakout may be near. Global M2 growth, stablecoin supply trends, and gold's rally, which Bitcoin has closely tracked with a 40-day lag, all point upward."

Bitcoin closed September about 5% higher at roughly $114,000, ending Q3 2025 at a record high despite typical seasonal weakness. Historical data from 2015, 2016, 2023 and 2024 show positive September closes often preceded fourth-quarter rallies averaging over 50%. Since 2015, October and November have averaged gains of 21.8% and 10.8% respectively, implying potential for a year-end move past $150,000. The April halving reduced new supply, a factor that can exert upward pressure. Recent sideways trading contrasts with liquidity indicators — Global M2 growth, stablecoin trends, and a gold rally tracked with a 40-day lag — signaling upside momentum. A U.S. government shutdown pushed gold to record highs and coincided with Bitcoin surging past $118,000, while the shutdown may delay economic data and complicate central bank decisions.

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