Bilal Coulibaly, turning 21 soon, had a second season characterized by both disappointment and unexpectedly strong performance. Initially showing a PPA of 49 as a rookie, which is around replacement level, Coulibaly's second season saw his PPA rise dramatically to 75. This exceeded projections, as his rookie season typically forecasted a PPA of 54 for his second year. Entering his third year, Coulibaly's expected improvement aligns with historical patterns for player development, indicating a potential for significant contribution going forward.
Coulibaly's PPA 49 first season means he performed at about replacement level. That's not good by NBA standards, but it's pretty normal for a teen-aged rookie.
Using Coulibaly's rookie season 49 PPA forecasts a year two PPA of 54. Then a 78 in year three, and finally cracking average (102) in his fourth season.
Coulibaly last season posted a 75 PPA - catapulting 'normal' improvement by 21 points in my PPA rating and reaching a level in year two of his career that he'd have been expected not to reach until year three.
He's entering his third year, which is a time when players tend to improve significantly.
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