"This is a sentence I never thought I'd type: Undefeated Vanderbilt is rolling into Tuscaloosa with playoff chatter starting to swirl. And yet, here we are. The Commodores are 5-0, playing with confidence and looking nothing like the program we've come to expect. Across the field is Alabama; 3-1 and fresh off a statement upset over Georgia that reminded everyone that it is still a heavyweight, even if it looks a little different these days."
"Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog since 2024. The Commodores have also covered in six straight road games against SEC opponents, one shy of tying their longest such streak over the last 40 years (seven straight from 2008-10). Vanderbilt is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 games as a double-digit underdog. Diego Pavia is 18-8 ATS in his career as an underdog (14-12 outright)."
Vanderbilt enters 5-0 and carrying unexpected momentum while Alabama is 3-1 coming off a signature upset of Georgia. Betting markets list Alabama -10.5, moneyline Alabama -450 and Vanderbilt +340, with an over/under of 56.5. Vanderbilt has strong against-the-spread results as a road underdog since 2024 and has covered multiple SEC road games; the team is 7-3 ATS as a double-digit underdog. Quarterback Diego Pavia holds favorable ATS numbers as an underdog. The matchup creates a high-variance betting scenario between an emerging Vanderbilt squad and a still-evolving Alabama.
Read at ESPN.com
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