"Political organizer Denise Powell has defeated State Sen. John Cavanaugh to win the Democratic primary in the race for Nebraska's second congressional district, according to a race call by the Associated Press on Wednesday. With the race too close to call as polls closed Tuesday night, Powell ultimately defeated Cavanaugh by about 2 percentage points with 89 percent of votes counted so far, according to estimates from the AP Wednesday evening. That margin could change as the remaining ballots in the race are counted."
"The race for the state's second congressional district is closely watched because the ultimate winner could help decide which party controls the narrowly divided U.S. House after this year's midterm elections. The second district, which includes the Omaha area, is known as the "blue dot" because it was the lone Nebraska district to vote for Kamala Harris in 2024 and Joe Biden in 2020. It is currently represented by Republican Don Bacon, who is retiring."
"Democrats see the seat as a prime pickup opportunity. Powell's win helps avoid a scenario that many Nebraska Democrats had been dreading. Had Cavanaugh won, the state's Republican governor would have been able to appoint a replacement to finish his term, which ends in 2028. Republicans already hold a supermajority in the Nebraska legislature, but some Democrats worried that losing a seat in a reliable district would have helped the GOP change how the state awards its electoral votes for president."
"Nebraska is one of two states, the other being Maine, that does not use a winner-take-all approach when awarding electoral votes. Rather, it awards an Electoral College vote to the winning presidential candidate in each individual congressional district. In a close race, many Democrats fear the loss of the blue dot could prove pivotal."
Denise Powell defeated State Sen. John Cavanaugh to win the Democratic primary for Nebraska’s second congressional district. The race was close when polls closed Tuesday night, and Powell ultimately led by about two percentage points with 89 percent of votes counted, though the margin could change as remaining ballots are counted. The district is closely watched because the eventual winner could affect which party controls the narrowly divided U.S. House. The Omaha-area district is known as the “blue dot” for voting for Kamala Harris in 2024 and Joe Biden in 2020. The seat is currently held by retiring Republican Don Bacon, and Democrats view it as a prime pickup opportunity. Powell’s win also avoids a scenario where a Cavanaugh victory could allow the Republican governor to appoint a replacement, potentially influencing electoral vote allocation rules in a close presidential race.
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