"Manchester City, with the second best expected goals (xG) in the league and a goal machine up front, will be taking on a team at the opposite end of the spectrum. Burnley have let in eight goals this season but their expected goals conceded (xGC) is 10.2 - in other words, they have got away lightly with picking the ball out of their net just eight times."
"Compare that to West Ham - with a league-worst 13 goals conceded to an xGC of 7.6 - and it suggests a thrashing could be round the corner for the Clarets. Will that come on Saturday? And, if so, do you triple captain Erling Haaland? The guys from the FPL Podcast on BBC Sport, along with expert Pras, will be debating that question on Friday, but for now here's our team of the week."
"A shambles of a week - no goals, no clean sheets and just two assists for 35 points all out. Image source, BBC Sport David Raya, Arsenal, 5.5m - Newcastle (a) Arsenal's defence has been so good this season that you'd back them even in this tough fixture, on paper, at Newcastle. The Magpies have been pretty blunt in attack so far, evidenced by three successive 0-0 draws on the road. At home, they will be a different prospect, but whether they can break through the Gunners backline is a different matter."
Manchester City rank second in expected goals (xG) and face Burnley, whose expected goals conceded (xGC) of 10.2 contrasts with just eight actual goals conceded, indicating luck or defensive frailty. West Ham have conceded 13 goals despite an xGC of 7.6, showing defensive inconsistency elsewhere. The fixture prompts consideration of triple-captaining Erling Haaland for Manchester City. A team of the week is assembled to fit a 100m Free Hit budget using current FPL prices. An FPL special Q&A with expert Pras is scheduled live at 15:30 BST on Friday, 26 September. Recent FPL returns were poor.
Read at www.bbc.com
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