"All these explanations for Tennessee try to avoid the difficult problem facing the party: the president's approval rating. In the RealClearPolitics average, it's 42.4%. In Gallup, it's 36%. Both are the lowest of his second term, wrote Rove. The Gallup poll details who has lost confidence in Mr. Trump. Among Republicans, his approval dropped from 91% in November 2024 to 84% last month. Among independents, it has dropped by double digits, from 42% in November 2024 to 25% today."
"As much as the White House may want this contest to be about Mr. Trump, so do Democrats. Let GOP candidates make their races about themselves and even create some distance from the president, he argued. The focus must be on kitchen-table issues. James Carville's 1992 pronouncement is still true today: It's the economy, stupid, and don't forget healthcare. If Republicans ignore this 33-year-old wisdom, they'll lose their House majority and maybe the Senate, too. Voters have spoken. Will the GOP listen?"
Republican Matt Van Epps defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn by nine points in a House district that President Trump carried by 22 points. Explanations such as money, candidate quality, and turnout operations were downplayed in favor of a larger problem: the president's low approval ratings. The RealClearPolitics average sits at 42.4% and Gallup at 36%, the lowest of the second term. Approval among Republicans fell from 91% to 84%, and among independents from 42% to 25%. Republicans are urged to let candidates distance from the president and focus on kitchen-table issues like the economy and healthcare to avoid losing Congress.
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