A recent forecast from the World Meteorological Organization and U.K. Meteorological Office predicts an 80% chance of breaking annual temperature records in the next five years. Climate experts note higher mean temperatures lead to more extreme weather events like hurricanes, droughts, and wildfires, posing severe risks to lives. The analysis indicates a possible rise above the Paris Agreement's 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold before the decade's end, with an 86% chance of one year exceeding this limit.
Higher global mean temperatures may sound abstract, but it translates in real life to a higher chance of extreme weather: stronger hurricanes, stronger precipitation, droughts.
With every tenth of a degree the world warms from human-caused climate change we will experience higher frequency and more extreme events.
There's an 86% chance that one of the next five years will pass 1.5 degrees and a 70% chance that the five years as a whole will average more.
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