The Atlanta Braves' disappointing 26-29 record can be attributed to a combination of bad luck, poor timing, and suboptimal strategic management. The team struggled significantly with runners on base, highlighted by an 0-31 streak leading up to their recent games, along with a low wRC+ with runners in scoring position from key players. Additionally, they have faced a tough stretch of one-run games, holding a weak winning percentage. Injuries have further compounded these issues, indicating that despite a favorable run differential, factors like variance in performance and mismanagement have hindered their success.
Clutch, timely hitting has mostly proven to be a non-sticky skill... their woes with runners on base may simply be random variation and luck.
Despite having a positive run differential, the Braves are three games under .500 due to a bottom five winning percentage in one run games.
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