"Double-digit spreads break that pattern. They appear when one team enters the game with clear advantages across several areas. Those advantages usually include* A dominant regular season and playoff run* A large gap at quarterback* Major injuries on the underdog* A matchup mismatch that shows up in efficiency metrics When all of those align, the market allows the spread to grow."
"They reflect public perception, team dominance, and how much risk sportsbooks believe you are willing to take. When spreads stretch into double digits, they signal something rare. One team is expected to overwhelm the other on the sport's biggest stage. This article walks you through the biggest spreads in Super Bowl history. It focuses on what those numbers meant before the game, how they played out, and how you can use those lessons when you look at future Super Bowls."
Point spreads shape pregame perception by reflecting public sentiment, team dominance, and sportsbooks' risk assessments. Super Bowls usually produce tight lines because both teams are elite and sportsbooks price lines to attract balanced action. Double-digit spreads are rare and occur when one team carries multiple clear advantages, such as a dominant regular season and playoff run, a large quarterback gap, significant injuries to the underdog, and matchup mismatches visible in efficiency metrics. Historical examples, like the Bears being 10–12-point favorites in Super Bowl XX and winning 46–10, show that extreme regular-season dominance can translate into Super Bowl blowouts.
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