"The carrot he offers is to spare Iran's electricity grid and energy industry from further destruction. The stick, of course, is more bombing and possibly a ground invasion."
"Destroying Iran's energy infrastructure would result in an environmental disaster and make it an economic basket case for years to come."
"If we called a unilateral ceasefire and simply left the region, the Iranian regime would have a vested interest in opening the Strait of Hormuz because it would help its economy."
"Regime change will not happen during this current campaign. Regimes do not collapse when bombs are dropping."
The best approach to manage the fallout of the US-Israel war on Iran is to end it immediately. President Trump's strategy involves both incentives and threats, with a focus on preserving Iran's energy infrastructure. Destroying it would lead to environmental disaster and economic collapse, creating a wave of refugees who would resent the US. A unilateral ceasefire could encourage Iran to stabilize the Strait of Hormuz, benefiting the global economy. Current military efforts are unlikely to lead to regime change, as regimes do not collapse under bombardment.
Read at www.aljazeera.com
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