#forecast-accuracy

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#weather-apps #meteorology #weather-forecasting #probability-interpretation #farmers-almanac
Roam Research
fromMail Online
3 days ago

Scientists reveal what a '30% chance of rain' REALLY means

A percentage chance of rain indicates the probability of precipitation occurring, not its intensity or geographic coverage area.
Science
fromSilicon Canals
1 month ago

Farmers' Almanac was right again: here's what they predict for the rest of winter - Silicon Canals

The Farmers' Almanac maintains roughly 80–85% historical accuracy and predicts continued winter storms and wild temperature swings across February and March.
Artificial intelligence
fromTechCrunch
1 month ago

Nvidia's new AI weather models probably saw this storm coming weeks ago | TechCrunch

Nvidia released Earth-2 AI weather models claiming faster, more accurate forecasts; Earth-2 Medium Range reportedly outperforms Google DeepMind's GenCast on over 70 variables.
fromZDNET
1 month ago

Forget your weather app: 15 reliable meteorologists and other sources for accurate ice storm updates

If you've ever glanced at your phone's weather app to check the day's forecast or to help plan for an upcoming storm, you've probably run across a scenario where you see an outrageous forecast. It happened to me earlier this week when I noticed my app was predicting more than 13 inches of snow for the Charlotte, NC area. Not only would that be a historic storm, but it would also be fairly apocalyptic for an area where even an inch of snow is a rarity.
Science
US politics
fromFast Company
6 months ago

Economists are not immune to political bias, research shows

Republican-affiliated economists predict higher GDP growth under Republican presidents, producing systematically larger forecast errors and reduced accuracy.
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